
Environmental economics
Research publications
2025
2024
Lennart Baumgärtner , Rupert Way , Matthew Ives , and J. Doyne Farmer. “The need for better statistical testing in data-driven energy technology modeling,” Joule (2024)
2023
Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Simon Sharpe, Roberto Pasqualino, Fernanda Senra de Moura, Femke Nijsee, Pim Vercoulen, Alex Clark, Cristina Penasco, Laura Diaz Anadon, Jean-Francois Mercure, Cameron Hepburn, J. Doyne Farmer, and Timothy M. Lenton. “New economic models of energy innovation and transition.” Report (2023).
2022
Rupert Way, Penny Mealy and J. Doyne Farmer. “Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition." Joule (2022)
2020
Rupert Way, Penny Mealy and J. Doyne Farmer. “Estimating the costs of energy transition scenarios using probabilistic forecasting methods.” INET Oxford Working Paper No. 2021-01, (2020).
Cameron Hepburn and J. Doyne Farmer. “Less precision, more truth: uncertainty in climate economics and macroprudential policy.” In Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change, pp420-438. Eds Graciela Chichilnisky and Armon Rezai, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2020.
Josep Perelló, Miquel Montero, Jaume Masoliver, .J Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, “Statistical analysis and stochastic interest rate modeling for valuing the future with implications in climate change mitigation”, Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, vol 2020 (2020).
2019
Rupert Way, Francois Lafond, Fabrizio Lillo, Valentyn Panchenko and J. Doyne Farmer, “Wright meets Markowitz: How standard portfolio theory changes when assets are technologies following experience curves”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 101(April), pp.211-238, (2019).
J. Doyne Farmer, Cameron Hepburn, Matthew C. Ives, Thomas Hale, Thom Wetzer, Penny Mealy, Ryan Rafaty, Sughanda Srivastav & Rupert Way, “ Sensitive intervention points in the post-carbon transition”, Science, 364(6436), pp. 132-134, (2019).
2018
.Lafond, A. G. Bailey, J. D. Bakker, D. Rebois, R. Zadourian, P. McSharry, & J. D. Farmer, “How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 128 (March), pp.104-117.
2015
J. Doyne Farmer, Alex Teytelboym, Penny Mealy and Cameron Hepburn, “A Third Wave in the Economics of Climate Change.” Environmental Resource Economics 62, 2, 329 – 357 (2015).
J. Doyne Farmer, John Geanakoplos, Jaume Masoliver, Miquel Montero and Josep Perello, “Value of the Future: Discounting in Random Environments.” Physical Review E 91, 052816 (2015).
2014
Cameron Hepburn, Eric Beinhocker, J.Doyne Farmer and Alexander Teytelboym, “Resilient and Inclusive Prosperity within Planetary Boundaries.” China and World Economy 22 (5) 76-92 (2014).
2013
J. Doyne Farmer, John Geanakoplos, Jaume Masoliver, Miquel Montero and Josep Perello, “Discounting the Distant Future.” Journal of Public Economics, (2013).
2011
James McNerney, J. Doyne Farmer, and Jessika Trancik, “Historical Costs of Coal-Fired Electricity and Implications for the Future." Energy Policy 39(6) (2011): 3042-3054.
2010
Charles D. Ferguson, Lindsey E Marberger, J. Doyne Farmer and Arjun Makhijani, “A US Nuclear Future?” Nature (2010)
2009
J. Doyne Farmer and John Geanakoplos, “Hyperbolic Discounting is Rational: Valuing the Far Future with Uncertain Discount Rates.” Yale University Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1719 (2009).